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2024-12-13 05:41:34

The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1 trillion yuan for the 50th consecutive trading day, setting a new record.Huang Wentao, China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd.: Policy strength and tools are expected to achieve new breakthroughs. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, said in the latest interpretation that the meeting first mentioned "strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment", and the policy framework is expected to get rid of the mindset and achieve new breakthroughs in strength and tools. Huang Wentao mentioned that the "unconventional" policy will be mainly reflected in the breakthrough of the original conventional policy model, including: First, the breakthrough of monetary policy from "steady" to "moderately loose", and the transformation from the traditional model to the modern central bank system in the transmission system. Second, it is expected that the fiscal deficit constraint of 3% will be greatly exceeded, and the mode of financial development may also be optimized in the past, with more inclination to the residential sector. Third, in stabilizing the capital market, more powerful and effective measures are introduced to prevent excessive market volatility. "The stocks and debts are expected to continue." Huang Wentao pointed out that the unconventional countercyclical adjustment policy not only provides sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provides strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provides sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Morgan Stanley published a research report that China's monetary policy changed from "prudent" to "moderately loose" to support market sentiment in 2025, and the real policy may focus on interest rate reform in 2025. Morgan Stanley said that the increased attention to reactivating the capital market should also help support market sentiment and keep the trading volume high in the short term. The bank also suggested that optimizing existing loans, more rational bank loan growth and interest rate reform may be the real focus in 2025. The bank believes that risk-based loan pricing may continue to recover, which will help to buffer the bank's net interest margin, even if some additional loan market quotations are lowered.


Commercial banks strengthen the marketing of personal pension business. According to combing, the "marketing fever" of personal pension business of ICBC, Agricultural Bank, China Construction Bank, Bank of China, Bank of Communications and other banks and their branches is heating up continuously recently. In addition, some banks have stepped up their efforts to "grab food" from the cake of personal pension business with the help of Internet financial platforms such as Jingdong Finance, and added more customers. The experts interviewed believe that it is an important measure for banks and other institutions to carry out personal pension business to implement the national strategy of actively responding to the aging population, which will help promote the implementation of personal pension policy. For banks, personal pension business can increase customer resources and provide a broader market space for bank wealth management business. (Securities Daily)Lebanese media said that Israeli tanks were moving about 20 kilometers away from Damascus. According to the early morning news of Lebanon's "Square" TV station on the 10th local time, Israeli troops had crossed the Syrian-Israeli military buffer zone, entered the rural province of Damascus, Syria, and occupied several towns in the province near the Lebanese border. Israeli tanks are heading for Qatana, about 20 kilometers from Damascus. (CCTV News)The diet pills sector strengthened locally, with Changshan Pharmaceutical rising by over 13%, followed by Hanyu Pharmaceutical, Shengnuo Bio, Hongyuan Pharmaceutical and Borui Pharmaceutical.


Yi Yatong once again won the bid for the service project of the supplier of the material supply platform of China Post Group Co., Ltd., and recently, Yi Yatong won the bid for the service project of the supplier of the material supply platform of China Post Group Co., Ltd. again. The winning categories in this project include 60 categories and 628 subcategories of commodities and related services such as grain and oil seasoning, kitchen and bathroom appliances, cleaning products, office equipment, home textile products and daily necessities; The service scope is China Post Group Co., Ltd. and its subordinate institutions at all levels, including the headquarters of the group company, branches in all provinces (including autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government), delivery departments, holding subsidiaries, directly affiliated units and their internal or subordinate branches at all levels.General Administration of Customs: China's imports of iron ore, coal and natural gas increased in the first 11 months. According to customs statistics, in the first 11 months of 2024, China imported 1.124 billion tons of iron ore, up 4.3%, and the average import price (the same below) was 768 yuan per ton, down 3.9%; 506 million tons of crude oil, down by 1.9% to 4,208.8 yuan per ton, up by 0.3%; 490 million tons of coal, up 14.8%, 688.4 yuan per ton, down 12.5%; 120 million tons of natural gas, up by 12% to 3,506.2 yuan per ton, down by 5.8%; 97.09 million tons of soybeans, an increase of 9.4% and a decrease of 15.1% to 3,591.7 yuan per ton; Refined oil reached 44.94 million tons, up by 4.5%, reaching 4,322.9 yuan per ton, up by 4.5%. In addition, 26.333 million tons of plastics with primary shapes were imported, a decrease of 2.4% to 10,800 yuan per ton, a decrease of 0.1%; The unwrought copper and copper products reached 5.127 million tons, up by 1.7% and 67,700 yuan per ton, up by 11.1%.Israeli troops crossed the military buffer zone tanks and marched towards the city of Gaetana near the Syrian capital. Many Israeli media quoted Lebanese "Square" TV station as saying in the early morning of the 10th local time that Israeli troops had crossed the Syrian-Israeli military buffer zone and entered the rural province of Damascus, Syria, occupying several towns near the Lebanese border. Israeli tanks are heading for Qatana, about 20 kilometers from Damascus. At present, other Arab media have not reported this news, and the Israeli army has not responded to this. (CCTV News)

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